Margin betting

October 13, 2022

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Margin betting is where you choose the winning margin in a match between two teams. Margin bets are available for AFL, Rugby League, Rugby Union, and Basketball.

– AFL: 1-39, 40+ and Draw

– Rugby League and Union: 1-12, 13+, and Draw

– Basketball: 1-10, 11+

When a Draw option is an offer for margin bets, it will preclude any additional time.

Winning Margin Bet Meaning

Winning Margin bets are considered single bets. Some see it as an alternative to betting on the correct score, allowing for more possible winning outcomes. Win-margin betting is the exact difference in goals between the winning and losing teams.

For example, a +2 win rate means the final score is 2-0, 3-1, 4-2, etc. It, in turn, allows for more winning outcomes than a single possible outcome when betting on the correct score.

Winning-margin betting also includes predicting the winning team, not the winning margin. So, if Liverpool plays Leicester City, a guaranteed winning bet will need to predict which team will win and the difference in the number of goals, such as “Leicester City 1 point”. In this case, the bettor will be successful if City wins 0-1, 1-2, 2-3.

Best Win Margin Betting Sites

Variations of Win Margin bets

As mentioned above, margin bets to win in a football match need to favor a specific team and require an accurate score margin. The standard options are 1, 2, 3, or 4+ margins.

  • Win by 1 point – betting example.

Let us imagine the following scenario. Arsenal is at home against Aston Villa in the Premier League, and you decide to bet on Arsenal to win by 1. Your Bet will win if the match results are 1-0, 2-1, 3-2, or 4-3. If the match ends in a draw and Aston Villa wins, or Arsenal wins by more than one, then bets are deemed lost.

  • Win by 2 – betting example

We will give another example. Manchester United and home against Manchester City, you bet on Manchester United to win by two goals. It would help if you scored 2-0, 3-1, 4-2, or 5-3 for your Bet to be successful. Anything other than a 2-goal win over Manchester United will lose your Bet.

  • Win by 3 points – bet example.

Let’s say Norwich takes on Chelsea at Stamford Bridge, and you think you have a chance to win at three at Chelsea. It would be best if the Blues win 3-0, 4-1, or 5-2 to win the Bet. Any other score or result will be lost.

  • Four or more wins – betting example.

Last but not least, one Bet that might bring some high odds is the odds of 4. Let’s imagine Manchester City at home against Burnley as the other variants. The game has returned to a 5-0 score four times over the past few years. Repeating that scoreline will give you the win, but a Manchester City win by less than four goals will cost you or any other bettor who made this Bet.

  • No Goal and Score Draw betting

You can also predict which team will score (0-0), known as a “no-goal” option, or whether the game will be tied (1-1, 2-2, 3-3, and so on), this is called the “Score Draw” option. This type of Bet is within 90 minutes without regard to overtime or penalty points.

In other sports, you can also bet on winnings on specific parts of the game, such as a quarter of a basketball game.

  • Spread Betting

Betting spreads are an alternative to profit margin betting but are not subject to a specific profit margin. Instead, it offers punters the possibility to place a deposit of 2 or more. Apart from football, this option also works for various other sports. The odds here are usually lower than winning margin bets, as this type of Bet gives you more chances to win and ensures a good return on your investment.

For example, suppose you are betting on Real Madrid to beat Valencia by 1.5+ goals. In that case, the score can be 2-0, 5-1, 3-1, 4-0, and any other difference more than the difference between Real Madrid and Valencia 1.5 goals (as long as it is suitable for Real Madrid).

Predict a Winning Margin – Useful Stats

When researching before placing a bet, we highly recommend checking out some stats related to the game you’re considering betting On. Today, tons of free football statistics are available online, covering all game details such as scores, wins, goalscorers, and even the number of corners.

When winning margin bets, we recommend looking at three main statistics:

  • Head-to-Head Records

With this data, you can analyze what happened in the previous games between the two teams and try to identify the stronger team. However, there can be many possible changes within a team between one season and another, so it’s important not to look at this stat.

You may also want to look at a particular team’s record against similar opponents. For example, suppose you are looking at betting against Leicester City vs. Aston Villa. In that case, we recommend looking at Leicester City vs. teams like Everton and Leeds and Aston Villa vs. Chelsea and Tortoise. The performance of teams like Turnham.

  • Season Form

We also recommend investigating how both teams have fared this season. Here you can study the average number of goals and goals conceded by the teams in question and collect results against similar opponents.

We recommend giving attention to the home and away format depending on the fixtures. Again, there will never be a definitive outcome. However, these stats will help you understand a particular outcome’s odds and winning margins.

  • Current Form

In addition to H2H records and season form, we recommend looking at the team’s current Form. It means looking at the team’s past five games to see if any recent changes could lead to a different type of trend than was identified in the season table.

The short-term state of a team can be affected by many factors, such as injuries, shock results, players returning from injury, or players on loan. These can directly impact your team’s ability to score goals and, thus, the likely odds of your planned Bet. Keep an eye out for possible roster rotations when drafting a potential top-11 player.

For example, an injury to Richarlison or Dominic Calvert-Lewin could affect Everton’s scoring chances. Likewise, the return of Bruno Fernandes from injury will increase the likelihood that United will dominate the game, scoring more and perhaps conceding fewer goals, as they will give opponents less time in possession. When evaluating injuries, try to determine how important a player is to the team and who is his natural replacement when determining the impact of his absence or return.

The Pros & Cons of winning margin betting

In comparing this market to others and listing the pros and cons below, we want to remind you that every betting market carries considerable risk. Our purpose here is to highlight the characteristics of the market that can attract or drive punters away from it.


  • Allows for more correct outcomes than betting on exact scores
  • The odds in this market are pretty high
  • Adding Win Margin bets to accumulators can significantly increase potential winnings


  • Difficulty predicting odds, especially when betting before the game
  • Deep research is required when betting on winnings

Bet win margin

Bet is one of the popular types offered by all betting sites. So if it were an offer by a betting site you choose to use, you would likely have to scroll through several other betting markets to access it. Some betting sites may also split the win margin market into two markets, with Team A winning by ‘x’ goals and Team B winning by ‘x’ goals, as different markets.

Win margin bets with ‘X’ or more goals

In this betting technique, you can be safe by betting on multiple targets and covering any numbers higher than your predicted numbers. Let’s take the Wolves vs. Southampton game as an example. Wolves beat Southampton 5-1.

For this match, if you bet on Wolves to win by two or more goals, you will win your Bet. It will reduce your margin for error. This betting strategy is far less profitable than a margin bet for an outright win.

Can I profit from winning margin bets?

Yes, you can make money by winning margin bets. Since you are not as specific about the outcome as the correct score market, you may be more likely to guess a winning margin bet than a right score bet. It is easy to lose money by making unwise bets on such markets.

The lack of research could prove very costly. While you can still bet based on sheer luck and simple hunches, it’s unlikely to be a winning formula in the long run.

Profits from other sports

In American football, you can also place winning bets on teams participating in several other sports, such as the playoffs or the SB (SuperBowl). You can bet on the edge of victory that your favorite team will enjoy.

Let’s take the game between the NY Giants and the Green Bay Packers as an example. If you bet on the Green Bay Packers to win by 7 points, you may get odds ranging from 5-1 to 10-1, depending on where you bet. If the Packers win by 7 points, you win; otherwise, you lose.

You can also wager win guarantees in sports such as cricket, baseball, ice hockey, and golf.

  • Win Golf Margin Betting

Famous golf tournaments such as the Ryder Cup, Masters, and PGA Championship are great opportunities to wager on winning guarantees.

Let’s take the Ryder Cup as an example. To bet on the winning margin in the Ryder Cup, you need to predict that the US or European team will win and the point difference between that team’s win. For example, the US team will win by 5 points. Options in this betting market usually consist of a range of Points, such as margin 1-3 pts, 4-6 pts, etc.

In other golf tournaments, winning margin bets are usually based on the number of strokes by the winning player. In this case, instead of predicting the actual winner, you only need to Predict the winning margin – for example, two strokes.

  • Win basketball margin bets

In basketball, winning margin bets work in a similar way to football. When putting this type of Bet on a game, you need to determine the winner and the points the team will win – for example, the Miami Heat won by 7-9 points. Again, options in this betting market include pip ranges such as 1-2 pts, 3-6 pts, 7-9 Points, etc.

  • Win margin in baseball

When it comes to betting on win margins in baseball, you need to try to determine the number of runs a particular team will win the game. An example of this is New York Yankees’ 2-point win.

  • Win margins in ice Hockey games

In ice hockey, winning margin bets are very similar to football. The final score is by the number of balls entering their respective nets, so win guarantee bets will determine which team will win and the number of goals scored. In this case, the option is a single number, such as the Nashville Predators, to win by 2.

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