Six Tips To Find MMA Underdogs Worth Betting On

August 15, 2023

Betting on underdog fighters in MMA can be rewarding, provided you approach it with diligence and insight. While favorites tend to secure victories more frequently, their moneyline odds often overestimate their likelihood of winning. This article delves into a detailed exploration of six crucial tips that can aid you in identifying and capitalizing on valuable underdog opportunities in MMA betting.

The Value of the Golden Underdog is Real! 

Statistically, MMA underdogs triumph roughly 35% of the time. In fact, during 2014, a strategy of exclusively betting on underdogs would have outperformed wagering solely on favorites.

While we can’t possess a copy of Gray’s Sports Almanac akin to Biff’s advantage in Back to the Future II, we rely on more conventional means to identify promising longshots. Rather than a time-traveling DeLorean, the true treasures in discovering top underdogs are hidden within analytics.

Tip 1. Take a Closer Look at a Fighter’s Career

Scrutinizing a fighter’s entire career history goes beyond merely glancing at their overall record. Analyzing how a fighter wins or loses their matches, as well as their career trajectory, provides more profound insights. Consider factors such as consecutive wins, the average duration of victorious fights, fight frequency, and the nature of recent losses. Sherdog is an invaluable resource for examining fighters’ professional histories, as it offers information about how they secured victories or faced defeats. 

This analysis lets you grasp a fighter’s versatility and adaptability, crucial in assessing their potential performance against different opponents.

Tip 2. Know the In-Fight Data

Delving into in-fight statistics can illuminate a fighter’s tactics and tendencies. Websites like Fight Metric presents advanced statistics such as significant strikes landed, takedown attempts, and their success rates. These metrics provide an in-depth understanding of a fighter’s offensive and defensive capabilities. 

Analyzing individual fights also reveals trends and patterns that can be pivotal in predicting their performance. Paying attention to details like takedown attempts and their success rate can help you gauge how well an underdog’s style might align with their opponent’s weaknesses.

Tip 3. Consider Fighter Age

Recognizing the impact of a fighter’s age on their performance is vital. Studies indicate that warriors typically peak in their late twenties to early thirties. As fighters age, attributes such as speed, power, agility, and the ability to absorb punches tend to decline. The data reveals that fighters between 36 to 38 years old are at a higher risk of knockouts due to accumulated damage and decreased brain resiliency. 

This understanding helps you avoid overestimating older fighters’ capabilities, which can lead to more accurate underdog assessments.

Tip 4. Recognize Fighter Stance

Fighter stance, whether orthodox (right-handed) or southpaw (left-handed), plays a role in fight outcomes. Southpaw fighters have shown a higher success rate, while those who can fluidly switch stances have an even better win rate. Flexibility in stance and adaptability to different situations favor underdogs, particularly in closely contested fights. 

Recognizing the significance of fighter stances empowers you to identify potential advantages underdogs might possess over their opponents.

Tip 5. Understand Odds Accuracy

Bookmakers set odds after thorough research and analysis, considering past performances, injuries, and fighters’ layoff times. While searching for value in underdogs is worthwhile, remember that odds reflect a fighter’s true chances of winning based on available information. It’s essential to be selective in your bets and avoid making hasty decisions solely driven by potential high payouts. 

Balancing your assessment of an underdog’s value with a realistic evaluation of their chances is essential for successful betting.

Tip 6. Consider Mental Warfare

The psychological aspect of a fight, often fueled by pre-fight press conferences and interviews, can significantly impact outcomes. Fighters engaging in mental warfare through trash talk and psychological tactics aim to destabilize their opponents. Identifying fighters who remain composed under such pressure and stick to their game plans can be a key indicator of their potential success. 

Examining a fighter’s history in high-pressure scenarios can offer insights into their mental fortitude, providing a valuable dimension to your underdog assessment.

Successful MMA underdog betting results from meticulous research, data analysis, and an understanding of the psychological dynamics of the sport. By evaluating a fighter’s career comprehensively, studying in-fight statistics, considering age-related factors, recognizing fighter stances, understanding odds accuracy, and acknowledging the role of mental warfare, you can unveil valuable underdog opportunities with greater precision. 

Remember that effective MMA underdog betting requires a combination of strategic insight, discipline, and a thorough approach to maximize your chances of making profitable bets.

32 thoughts on “Six Tips To Find MMA Underdogs Worth Betting On”

  • Thank you so much for providing individuals with such a terrific chance to read from this site. It’s always so awesome and jam-packed with a good time for me personally and my office fellow workers to search your blog really three times a week to read through the fresh secrets you have. And of course, I am actually amazed with your unbelievable tips and hints you give. Certain 2 areas in this post are unequivocally the best I have had.

  • Hi there, You have done an excellent job. I will certainly digg it and personally suggest to my friends. I am sure they’ll be benefited from this web site.

  • I’m curious to find out what blog system you’re working with? I’m experiencing some small security issues with my latest website and I would like to find something more safeguarded. Do you have any recommendations?

  • You really make it seem really easy together with your presentation however I to find this matter to be actually something that I think I might never understand. It sort of feels too complex and extremely wide for me. I am taking a look forward for your subsequent put up, I will attempt to get the cling of it!

  • Greetings! Quick question that’s totally off topic. Do you know how to make your site mobile friendly? My blog looks weird when browsing from my iphone 4. I’m trying to find a template or plugin that might be able to correct this problem. If you have any recommendations, please share. Thank you!

  • Good ?V I should definitely pronounce, impressed with your web site. I had no trouble navigating through all the tabs as well as related info ended up being truly simple to do to access. I recently found what I hoped for before you know it in the least. Quite unusual. Is likely to appreciate it for those who add forums or anything, web site theme . a tones way for your client to communicate. Nice task..

  • Tiny black spots in your vision could be a sign of serious eye conditions. Patients have also complained of flashing lights in their central vision. This is more common in people wet AMD. It can occur when new blood vessels or scar tissue is tugging on the retina. It is important to differentiate this from flashing lights in the side vision, which, when associated with new floaters or a “curtain” blocking the side vision, can be a sign of a different disease: retinal detachment. Patients with symptoms of retinal detachment should have an eye exam as soon as possible so that treatment can be given promptly. Our highly trained specialists are available 24 7 via phone and on weekdays can assist through online chat. We connect patients, caregivers, and family members with essential services and resources at every step of their cancer journey. Ask us how you can get involved and support the fight against cancer. Some of the topics we can assist with include:
    http://ctivotgiosi1989.parsiblog.com/Posts/1/
    This eyebrow pencil makes it super easy to fill in and shape your brows. The spoolie brush on the end allows you to brush out your brows as well as blend in the color for a seamless look. You also really can’t beat the price! Created by makeup legend Bobbi Brown, this eyebrow pencil is completely waterproof, which means it’s especially ideal to wear to the pool or the beach. eyebrow pencil reviews “This eye pencil is amazing. You can apply as much coverage to your brow as you want. The best part about this product though is the gel side. Once you’ve filled in your brows with the pencil, you can then go over it with the gel, which smooths out your brows and keeps them in place. I go all day without a single strand of eyebrow hair out of place. It’s definitely better than the other brands I have used that are more expensive. LOVE LOVE LOVE this pencil.”

  • That is the fitting blog for anyone who desires to search out out about this topic. You realize so much its nearly hard to argue with you (not that I actually would want…HaHa). You undoubtedly put a new spin on a subject thats been written about for years. Great stuff, simply great!

  • Nice post. I learn something more challenging on different blogs everyday. It will always be stimulating to read content from other writers and practice a little something from their store. I’d prefer to use some with the content on my blog whether you don’t mind. Natually I’ll give you a link on your web blog. Thanks for sharing.

  • Write more, thats all I have to say. Literally, it seems as though you relied on the video to make your point. You clearly know what youre talking about, why waste your intelligence on just posting videos to your site when you could be giving us something informative to read?

  • But wanna input on few general things, The website layout is perfect, the written content is rattling fantastic. “The enemy is anybody who’s going to get you killed, no matter which side he’s on.” by Joseph Heller.

  • Hiya, I’m really glad I have found this information. Nowadays bloggers publish only about gossips and net and this is really annoying. A good blog with exciting content, this is what I need. Thanks for keeping this website, I will be visiting it. Do you do newsletters? Cant find it.

  • What i do not understood is actually how you’re not actually much more well-liked than you might be right now. You are so intelligent. You realize therefore considerably relating to this subject, produced me personally consider it from a lot of varied angles. Its like men and women aren’t fascinated unless it’s one thing to accomplish with Lady gaga! Your own stuffs nice. Always maintain it up!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.