Cómo apostar en la NFL

diciembre 15, 2023

La NFL está ganando popularidad entre los apostadores, en parte porque la temporada regular ahora se juega en nuestras costas.

Pero también por la vertiginosa cantidad de estadísticas disponibles y la sencillez y valor del mercado de apuestas. Si te gusta el valor y la igualdad de condiciones en las apuestas deportivas, entonces la NFL es donde debes estar.

Hándicaps y diferenciales

Puede apostar en juegos de la NFL a través de tres tipos principales de apuestas: mercados de línea de dinero, totales y hándicap (spread).

Los mercados Moneyline son apuestas directas al ganador del juego.

El mercado de puntos totales apuesta a si un partido terminará con una determinada cantidad de puntos o menos.

En el mercado de hándicap, un equipo obtiene una ventaja de puntos, por lo que las probabilidades de ambos equipos están cerca de una división equitativa, que es donde entra en juego el gran movimiento en las apuestas de la NFL.

A menudo escuchará que se hace referencia al mercado de hándicap como «spread», y lo utilizan todos, desde los apostadores profesionales hasta los principales medios de comunicación, para determinar las posibilidades de que dos equipos ganen. Las líneas de apuestas con hándicap equilibran el campo de juego para contrarrestar la fuerza variable de cada equipo en la NFL.

Ofrece dos ventajas a los apostadores: en primer lugar, en lo que puede ser una carrera unilateral, se apuesta cerca de 2,0 en cada lado; y en segundo lugar, introduce la opinión del apostador en el mercado. Es importante porque significa que pueden cometer errores, y a menudo lo hacen, y ahí es donde se puede ganar dinero.

Usemos un juego de la Semana 3 de la temporada 2021/22 para ilustrar cómo funcionan las apuestas con hándicap de la NFL.

Aquí el handicap se fija en tres y favorece a los New York Giants ya que tienen un signo menos al lado de su número. El mercado valora a los Giants 3 puntos más que a los Falcons, por lo que en las apuestas de hándicap, los Giants comienzan con una ventaja de 3 puntos.

Apueste a los Gigantes -3.0 a ganar si los Gigantes ganan por más de 3 puntos. Del mismo modo, apostar a los Atlanta Falcons +3,0 dará sus frutos si los Atlanta Falcons ganan el partido o pierden por no más de 2 puntos.

Si los Giants ganan por 3 puntos, las apuestas en ambos lados del hándicap se cerrarán y, si la línea del hándicap no se cruza, se reembolsarán las apuestas. A menudo verá que las líneas de handicap con números de 0,5 al final son muy populares ya que eliminan la posibilidad de avanzar y garantizan que el handicap supere a un lado.

Vencer la propagación

Hay algunos factores que tienes que tener en cuenta a la hora de apostar por hándicap o hándicap:

1. Se deben evaluar los puntos esperados de cada equipo en un juego determinado. Muchos factores, como el clima, las lesiones y la ventaja de jugar en casa, pueden afectar los puntos esperados. Debes evaluar estas variables y el hándicap para ver quién cubrirá sus líneas.

2. No es necesario apostar en todos los juegos. Sea selectivo. Es posible que no puedas anticipar todos los partidos de la NFL, pero ves algunos partidos cada semana en los que estás seguro de que un equipo cubrirá la línea con una probabilidad superior al 53 %.

3. Apueste temprano. Una de las formas sencillas de aprovechar el diferencial es apostar desde el principio, cuando aparece el hándicap del juego. Las líneas de handicap para los juegos de la NFL a menudo cambian en el período previo; con los Gigantes en -3.0 a 1.91 la semana antes del partido y -6.0 unas horas antes del inicio, las probabilidades son 1.91.

Evite el ruido

El trabajo de los medios es entusiasmar los juegos de la NFL y generar expectación para impulsar los índices de audiencia. No te dejes engañar por el ruido de la prensa que intenta vender la historia de un próximo juego. Un apostador ganador de la NFL será alguien que pueda filtrar todo el ruido de los medios en torno a un juego y utilizar la gran cantidad de datos que existen para encontrar apuestas ganadoras.

Al apostar en la NFL, preste atención a las estadísticas disponibles y a los datos históricos. Las referencias del fútbol profesional son un tesoro escondido para el juego individual o en equipo. Los jugadores y equipos de la NFL suelen estar alineados, y los mejores equipos estadísticamente compiten constantemente por el premio mayor al final de la temporada.

Una estrategia para apostar en la NFL es hacer que el público le reste importancia. «Desaparecer» significa apuesta. Si al público le gusta que un equipo gane el próximo partido, apoyará tanto a ese equipo que hará que los apostadores cambien las probabilidades para poner más dinero en otro equipo.

Los apostadores están tratando de hacer que la elección popular sea menos atractiva, menos valiosa y alejada de las probabilidades de que el equipo tenga más probabilidades de superar los márgenes. Sin embargo, esta es una buena noticia para los apostadores, y los apostadores astutos verán que las líneas se alejan y apostarán en sus equipos favoritos cuando la línea esté en su punto más alto y puedan obtener el mayor valor.

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  • Anabolic Basics For Beginners: The Guide

    Welcome to your ultimate guide on anabolism and muscle growth
    basics!

    Introduction

    Anabolism is the process by which muscles grow and repair themselves.
    It’s a natural biological process that occurs in our bodies through proper nutrition, exercise,
    and recovery.

    Macronutrients: The Building Blocks

    Proteins

    Proteins are the building blocks of muscle.
    They are made up of amino acids and are essential for
    muscle repair and growth.

    Carbohydrates

    Carbohydrates provide the energy needed for intense workouts.
    Without sufficient carbohydrates, your performance may suffer and recovery could be hindered.

    Fats

    Fats play a crucial role in hormone production, including testosterone.

    Healthy fats are vital for overall metabolic health and
    muscle function.

    Water Intake: The forgotten factor

    Hydration is often overlooked but is critical for optimal
    metabolic function. Proper hydration supports
    muscle recovery and waste removal.

    Exercise & Recovery

    Types of Exercise

    Strength training, cardio, flexibility, and mobility exercises all play a role in overall health
    and muscle development.

    Recovery

    Quality sleep, nutrition, and rest are essential for allowing your muscles to recover and
    grow. Without adequate recovery, progress stalls.

    Conclusion

    Anabolism is a continuous process that requires consistent
    effort in diet, exercise, and recovery. By understanding these basics, you can take the first steps toward building stronger, healthier muscle tissue.

    # Steroid Cycles 101: Testosterone, PCT, and the
    KISS Rule

    Anabolic-androgenic steroids (AAS) are a class of
    synthetic hormones that mimic the effects of testosterone.
    These compounds have become popular among bodybuilders and athletes looking to
    enhance muscle growth, recovery, and performance. However, steroid use
    is highly controversial, with both proponents and critics weighing in on their potential benefits
    and drawbacks. For beginners, understanding how to use steroids
    safely and effectively can be overwhelming, which is why we’ve put together this guide to walk you through the basics.

    ## Introduction to Anabolic-Androgenic Steroids (AAS)

    Anabolic-androgenic steroids are synthetic hormones that mimic the effects of
    testosterone, one of the primary male sex hormones. While endogenous testosterone is produced naturally by the
    body, exogenous AAS are used to supplement this production.
    Testosterone is responsible for a variety of
    functions, including muscle growth, fat metabolism, and libido.
    AAS have been designed to deliver these benefits in a more concentrated and controlled manner,
    making them sought after in certain circles.

    ## Injectable and Oral Steroids

    AAS can be delivered in two primary forms: injectable and oral.
    Injectable steroids are typically oil-based solutions that are administered via syringe into muscle tissue, where they
    are slowly released into the bloodstream. Oral steroids, on the
    other hand, are designed to be absorbed through the digestive system.
    However, not all AAS are suitable for oral administration due to their chemical structure, which can lead to
    digestion issues and reduced effectiveness.

    ### Oral AAS
    Oral AAS include compounds like Dianabol (Metandienone), Anavar
    (Oxandrolone), and Tbol (Oral Turinabol). These drugs
    are designed to be absorbed quickly and efficiently
    through the digestive system, making them a convenient option for some
    users.

    ### Injectable AAS
    Injectable AAS include Testosterone, Deca-Durabolin (Nandrolone Decanoate), and
    Trenbolone Acetate. These compounds are typically delivered
    via intramuscular injection and provide a more sustained release of active hormone compared
    to their oral counterparts.

    ## Cycling, Stacking, and Pyramiding Steroids

    Cycling refers to the periodic use of AAS in defined cycles,
    often followed by periods of rest or treatment (Post-Cycle Therapy, PCT).

    The goal of cycling is to maximize muscle growth, performance, and recovery
    while minimizing the negative effects associated
    with steroid use. Stacking involves using multiple compounds
    simultaneously, while pyramiding refers to gradually increasing the dosage over time.

    ### Cycling Steroids
    Cycling steroids means using a compound in repeated cycles, typically for
    a set number of weeks or months. The duration of the cycle and the specific compounds
    used depend on the user’s goals, experience, and risk tolerance.

    ### Stacking Steroids
    Stacking involves combining different AAS to create a synergistic effect, where one compound amplifies the effects
    of another. For example, pairing Testosterone with Dianabol can enhance muscle growth and recovery.

    ### Pyramiding Steroids
    Pyramiding involves starting with a lower dosage and gradually increasing
    it over time. This method is sometimes used to build
    tolerance to higher doses or to achieve a desired effect more slowly.

    However, pyramiding can also increase the risk of side effects.

    ## Cycle Length

    The duration of a steroid cycle can vary widely depending on the compound, the user’s experience,
    and their goals. Some users opt for short cycles (2-4 weeks), while others prefer longer cycles (6-12
    weeks) or even months-long durations. The choice of cycle length also depends on the
    ester used, as different esters have varying half-lives and
    release rates.

    ### Short Cycles (2-4 weeks)
    Short cycles are often used for rapid gains, such as during a bulking phase or in preparation for a
    competition. These cycles typically involve high doses of AAS to
    maximize muscle growth and strength.

    ### Medium Cycles (6-8 weeks)
    Medium cycles strike a balance between the intensity of short-term use and the prolonged effects of longer cycles.

    They are often used by experienced users who want to
    avoid the pitfalls of very long cycles while still achieving significant results.

    ### Standard Cycles (10-12 weeks)
    Standard cycles are the most common choice for steroid users, as
    they provide a good mix of benefits and manageable side effects.
    These cycles are often used for both bulking and cutting phases, depending
    on the compounds employed.

    ### Long Cycles (3-9 months)
    Long cycles are typically used for hormone replacement therapy or in cases
    where the user has a significant physiological need for extended AAS use.
    These cycles are more complex and require careful monitoring to avoid complications.

    ## Which Steroid Compound to Use?

    Choosing the right steroid compound involves
    considering your fitness goals, experience, and risk tolerance.
    Some compounds are better suited for bulking, while others excel in cutting or fat
    loss. Below is a list of some of the most popular AAS used today:

    ### Testosterone (and Its Esters)
    Testosterone is the foundation of any steroid cycle.
    It’s available in various ester forms, such as Propionate, Enanthate, and Cypionate, each with different half-lives and release
    rates.

    ### Dianabol (Metandienone)
    Dianabol is one of the most widely used oral AAS.
    It’s known for its ability to rapidly promote muscle growth and increase strength.

    ### Deca-Durabolin (Nandrolone Decanoate)
    Deca-Durabolin is another popular injectable steroid, known for its strong anabolic
    effects and minimal androgenic side effects.

    ### Anavar (Oxandrolone)
    Anavar is a mild oral AAS that’s often used by women due to its low androgenic activity.
    It’s excellent for cutting and maintaining muscle mass during a calorie-restricted phase.

    ### Sustanon 250 (Mix of Testosterone Esters)
    Sustanon 250 is an injectable steroid that combines various testosterone
    esters, providing a slow, sustained release of active hormone over time.

    ### Trenbolone Acetate
    Trenbolone Acetate is another powerful AAS that’s used both in bulking and
    cutting phases due to its ability to promote muscle growth and
    fat loss.

    ### Winstrol (Stanozolol)
    Winstrol is a potent steroid that’s often used for
    cutting and improving muscle density while reducing
    body fat. It’s particularly popular among athletes in sports like powerlifting and bodybuilding.

    ### Anadrol (Oxymetholone)
    Anadrol is another oral AAS that’s known for its ability to rapidly build muscle
    mass. However, it’s also associated with a high risk of side effects due to its strong androgenic
    nature.

    ### Clenbuterol (Clen)
    Clenbuterol is not a steroid but rather an anabolic
    agent that’s sometimes used in conjunction with
    AAS for its ability to enhance fat loss and
    performance.

    ### Proviron (Mesterolone)
    Proviron is a mild oral AAS that’s often used by men during the
    cutting phase to maintain muscle mass while reducing body fat levels.

    ### Masteron (Drostanolone)
    Masteron is another injectable steroid that’s known for its
    ability to enhance muscle growth and provide
    a sense of well-being.

    ### Halotestin (Fluoxymesterone)
    Halotestin is an oral steroid that’s often used by women due to its low androgenic activity.
    It’s excellent for cutting and maintaining muscle mass during a calorie-restricted phase.

    ### Primobolan (Metenolone)
    Primobolan is a mild AAS that’s often used in female bodybuilding due to its low androgenic activity and ability to promote lean muscle growth.

    ### Equipoise (Boldenone)
    Equipoise, or Boldenone, is an oral steroid that’s known for its ability to improve strength
    and endurance. It’s less commonly used today due to concerns
    about health risks.

    ### Oral Turinabol (Tbol)
    Oral Turinabol is another mild oral AAS that’s often used during the cutting phase
    to maintain muscle mass while reducing body fat.

    ### T3 Cytomel
    T3 Cytomel is not a steroid but rather an exogenous triiodothyronine supplement that’s sometimes used in conjunction with other compounds for its metabolic benefits.

    ## Beginner Steroid Cycles

    If you’re new to AAS, starting with a simple and effective cycle
    is key to minimizing risks and maximizing results. Below are some common options for beginner cycles:

    ### Should I use steroids?

    Deciding whether to use steroids is a personal choice that requires careful consideration of your goals, current fitness level, health status,
    and risk tolerance. The following factors may influence your decision:

    – **Age**: Steroids can have long-term effects on hormone
    balance, especially at younger ages.
    – **Experience**: Training for less than five years or with poor form and discipline may
    limit your results.
    – **Body Composition**: Carrying excess body fat or having a higher body weight may hinder progress.

    – **Emotional Stability**: Steroid use can sometimes lead to emotional
    or behavioral changes.

    ### Testosterone in Every Cycle

    Testosterone is the foundation of any steroid cycle, as it’s essential for muscle growth and recovery.
    Below are some common options for including testosterone in your cycle:

    #### Option #1
    **Testosterone-only Cycle**: This involves using only testosterone (in various ester forms) for the entire cycle.

    While effective, this can lead to significant side effects like Testosterone Entheism if
    not properly managed.

    #### Option #2
    **Testosterone and Dianabol Cycle**: Combining testosterone with Dianabol can amplify
    muscle growth and strength while reducing recovery time.

    #### Deca-Durabolin and Dianabol Cycle**: Pairing Deca-Durabolin with Dianabol
    is a popular option for those looking to build lean, quality muscle mass.

    ### Testosterone Taper Protocol

    For advanced users or those with experience, a testosterone taper protocol may be used to slowly reduce levels after
    the cycle ends. This helps minimize the risk of hormonal imbalances and negative side effects.

    #### The 1-vial Testosterone Cycle for Beginners
    If you’re new to AAS, starting with a single vial of testosterone (either
    as Propionate or Enanthate) is often recommended.
    This provides a controlled dose that’s easier to
    manage than multiple compounds.

    ### Testosterone-only Cycle

    This cycle involves using only testosterone, typically at a dosage of 100-300mg per
    day, depending on the ester used. While effective,
    it’s important to monitor for side effects like acne,
    hair loss, and mood swings.

    ### Testosterone and Dianabol Cycle

    Combining testosterone with Dianabol can be an excellent choice for those looking to build
    muscle mass rapidly. A common protocol is 50mg of Dianabol twice daily (for a total of 100mg) alongside
    300-500mg of Testosterone Enanthate or Cypionate per week.

    ### Deca-Durabolin and Dianabol Cycle

    Deca-Durabolin is often paired with Dianabol for its ability to enhance muscle growth and provide a sense
    of well-being. A typical protocol involves 200mg of Deca-Durabolin weekly alongside 50-100mg of Dianabol daily.

    ## Advanced Steroid Cycles

    For those with more experience, advanced steroid cycles can be designed to maximize results while minimizing risks.
    These protocols often involve high-dose Testosterone cycles or
    complex stacks that require careful planning and monitoring.

    ### Mistaking Yourself as an Advanced User

    It’s important not to overcomplicate your approach. Starting simple and gradually progressing
    to more advanced protocols is the best way to avoid mistakes and stay safe.

    ## What About the Doses, You Might Be Asking?

    Dose selection plays a crucial role in determining the effectiveness of your cycle while minimizing
    side effects. Below are some general guidelines for common steroid combinations:

    ### Bulking Stacks

    #### Dbol + Tren + Test (Super Mass Builder)
    – Dianabol: 50-100mg per day
    – Trenbolone Acetate: 300-400mg per week
    – Testosterone: 300-500mg per week

    #### Deca Durabolin + Dbol + Testosterone
    – Deca-Durabolin: 200mg per week
    – Dianabol: 50-100mg per day
    – Testosterone: 300-500mg per week

    ### Cutting Stacks

    #### Anavar + Winstrol
    – Anavar: 25-50mg per day
    – Winstrol: 40mg per day

    #### Primobolan + Anavar + Deca + Test
    – Primobolan: 125mg per day
    – Anavar: 25-50mg per day
    – Deca-Durabolin: 200mg per week
    – Testosterone: 300mg per week

    #### Test Prop + Tren + Winstrol
    – Testosterone Propionate: 150mg per day
    – Trenbolone Acetate: 400mg per week
    – Winstrol: 100mg per day

    ## Cycle Diet, Supplements and Training

    While on a steroid cycle, it’s crucial to maintain a
    disciplined diet and training regimen. This ensures your
    body has the raw materials needed to build muscle and recover
    effectively.

    ### Training

    – Focus on compound movements like squats, deadlifts, bench presses, and pull-ups.

    – Aim for 3-4 times per week with adequate rest between sessions.

    – Incorporate progressive overload to continually challenge your muscles.

    ### Cycle Diet

    – Maintain a calorie-surplus diet to support
    muscle growth.
    – Ensure a high protein intake (1.6g-2.2g per pound of body
    weight).
    – Keep carbohydrates moderate to avoid excessive water retention and fatigue.

    ### Supplements

    – Consider adding BCAAs, creatine, and whey protein to your
    regimen for additional support.

    ## Post Cycle Therapy (PCT) After Your First Cycle

    After completing a steroid cycle, it’s essential to undergo PCT to restore your body’s natural hormone production and avoid hormonal imbalances.
    A standard PCT protocol might include:

    – Clomid or Nolvadex for 4-6 weeks
    – Arimidex if necessary (for gyno prevention)
    – Close monitoring of hormone levels during and after PCT

    ## Common Side Effects of Steroid Use

    While steroids can provide impressive results, they’re also associated
    with several side effects. Below are some of the most
    common ones:

    – Acne and skin irritation
    – Hair loss or premature balding (in males)
    – Mood swings and irritability
    – Testosterone suppression
    – Gynecomastia (gyno)
    – Liver damage
    – High blood pressure
    – Increased risk of infections

    ## FAQs

    ### What are anabolic-androgenic steroids (AAS)?

    Anabolic-androgenic steroids are synthetic hormones that mimic the effects of
    testosterone, promoting muscle growth and fat loss.

    ### What is a half-life?

    The half-life refers to the time it takes for a drug or
    hormone to be reduced by half in the body. Shorter half-lives
    mean the steroid metabolizes more quickly.

    ### Is it safe to inject steroids? Does it hurt?

    Steroid injection itself is generally safe when done properly with
    clean equipment. However, the long-term effects of AAS use
    can be harmful if not managed correctly.

    ### At what age should I start using steroids?

    The optimal age for steroid use is highly debated. Many experts recommend waiting until you’re at
    least 30 years old and have a solid foundation of natural progress.

    ### What should my diet and training be like when I’m on a steroid
    cycle?

    Maintain a high-protein diet, train hard with adequate rest, and stay disciplined with your
    calorie intake.

    ### What is an ester?

    An ester is a chemical group attached to a hormone, which
    can affect its bioavailability and duration in the body.

    ### Should I take anti-estrogen drugs with steroids?

    Yes, anti-estrogens like Clomid or Nolvadex are often used during PCT to help
    restore natural hormone production after steroid use.

    ### What is gyno?

    Gyno refers to gynecomastia, the development of breast tissue in males.
    It’s a common side effect of steroid use due to excess estrogen.

    ### Will steroids give me acne or make me bald?

    Yes, steroids can cause acne and hair loss in some individuals.
    These effects are related to their androgenic nature.

    ### Will steroids affect my sex drive?

    While some users report increased libido, others may experience a reduction in sexual desire.
    This varies from person to person and is influenced by individual sensitivity.

    ### How fast do anabolic steroids work?

    Steroids can provide results within weeks for muscle growth, but it’s important to note
    that this is often water weight gain rather than fat loss or muscle development.

    ### What happens when you stop taking steroids?

    Stopping steroid use can lead to a rapid drop in hormone
    levels, causing side effects like fatigue and mood swings.

    It’s essential to follow a proper PCT protocol to restore natural hormone production.

    ## Final Thoughts

    Steroids can be a powerful tool for achieving your fitness goals, but they come with significant risks.
    If you’re considering using them, ensure you have a solid
    understanding of the potential consequences and are willing to commit to a disciplined approach both
    in and out of the gym. Always prioritize natural progress before turning to performance-enhancing
    drugs.

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