En ce qui concerne les paris sur le basket-ball universitaire, des mesures telles que les classements KenPom et Sagarin sont cruciales pour orienter les décisions des parieurs. Ces systèmes informatiques fournissent des prédictions sur les résultats des matchs et les marges de victoire, que les paris sportifs prennent souvent en compte lorsqu’ils établissent leurs cotes. Bien que les deux mesures offrent des informations précieuses, les parieurs se demandent souvent sur laquelle s’appuyer pour une meilleure précision et des chances de succès accrues.
Classements KenPom et Sagarin
KenPom et Sagarin sont deux systèmes de classement mathématique de premier plan permettant de prédire les résultats des matchs de basket-ball universitaire. KenPom, développé par Ken Pomeroy, évalue les forces des équipes sans prendre en compte les blessures ou les éléments émotionnels. Sa formule intègre des statistiques telles que le pourcentage de tirs, la marge de victoire et la solidité du calendrier, fournissant des notes d’efficacité offensive, défensive et globale. D’un autre côté, les classements Sagarin visent à atteindre le même objectif prédictif mais utilisent un algorithme différent qui doit être plus transparent.
Le processus de prise de décision pour les parieurs
Les parieurs peuvent tirer parti des classements KenPom et Sagarin pour prendre des décisions éclairées. En règle générale, ces mesures s’alignent étroitement, mais les divergences peuvent offrir des opportunités de paris de valeur. Lorsqu’il existe une différence significative dans les résultats prévus entre KenPom et Sagarin, les paris sportifs se tournent souvent vers KenPom, ajustant leurs lignes en conséquence. Les parieurs peuvent analyser ces écarts et envisager de se ranger du côté de la mesure la plus précise.
Comparaison de la précision
Une comparaison de la précision entre KenPom et Sagarin révèle des informations intrigantes. Dans les cas où les deux mesures divergent et où l’écart de points réel se situe entre les deux, KenPom a tendance à être plus précis. Une étude sur un petit échantillon de matchs de conférence de puissance de la saison 2018-19 a montré le pourcentage de précision plus élevé de KenPom dans la prédiction des marges de victoire par rapport à Sagarin. De plus, lorsque l’écart de points réel est supérieur ou inférieur aux deux prédictions, les cotes des paris sportifs ont tendance à être plus proches du résultat, ce qui suggère que les parieurs prennent en compte des facteurs supplémentaires tels que les blessures, l’historique des confrontations et les performances récentes.
Considérer les blessures
Les mesures KenPom et Sagarin ont toutes deux des limites dans la prise en compte des blessures. Ils supposent que les équipes performeront de la même manière que leurs performances passées, sans tenir compte des impacts potentiels des absences de joueurs clés. Les parieurs peuvent cependant tirer parti de cette limitation en surveillant de près l’actualité des blessures et en utilisant des mesures et des informations liées aux blessures pour faire des prédictions plus précises. Dans les situations où les paris sportifs peuvent initialement mal évaluer l’impact des blessures, les parieurs peuvent trouver utile de parier contre les réactions excessives.
KenPom contre Sagarin contre les paris sportifs : résultats suivis
Par souci de transparence, vous trouverez ci-dessous les résultats suivis utilisés pour évaluer l’exactitude des classements KenPom et Sagarin par rapport aux écarts de points réels d’un site de paris sportifs en ligne spécifique et aux résultats des matchs de basket-ball universitaire.
| Saison 2018-19 | |||||
| Correspondre | Propagation du KP | Affaissement. Propagé | Propagation réelle des paris sportifs | Résultat | Emporter |
| Duke at Notre Dame (Jan. 28) | Duke -14 | Duke -14.28 | Duke -15.5 | Duke wins (83-61) and covers. | Sagarin était plus précis que KenPom ; le bookmaker était plus précis que les deux. |
| TCU at Texas Tech (Jan. 28) | TT -5 | TT -4.26 | TT – 5.5 | TT wins (84-65) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Baylor at Oklahoma (Jan. 28) | Okla. -7 | Okla. -6.77 | Okla. -5.5 | Baylor wins (77-47) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| MD Eastern Shore at Howard (Jan. 28) | Howard -15 | Howard -11.85 | Howard -13.5 | Howard wins (72-57) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook; the sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| NC Central at Savannah St (Jan. 28) | NCCU -3 | NCCU -4.78 | NCCU -2.5 | NC Central wins (82-78) and covers | KenPom and Sagarin were even; both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Georgia at Arkansas (Jan. 29) | Ark. -7 | Ark. -5.98 | Ark. -7.5 | Arkansas wins (70-60) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Tennessee at South Carolina (Jan. 29) | Tenn. -12 | Tenn. -10.61 | Tenn. -8.5 | Tennessee wins (92-70) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Pittsburgh at Clemson (Jan. 29) | Clem. -6 | Clem. -7.46 | Clem. -9.5 | Clemson wins (82-69) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Kansas at Texas (Jan. 29) | Texas -1 | Kansas -2.69 | Texas -1.5 | Texas wins (73-63) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin. the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Lipscomb at Liberty (Jan. 29) | Liberty -4 | Liberty -0.02 | Liberty -2.5 | Lipscomb wins (79-59) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Ohio at No. Illinois (Jan. 29) | No. Ill. -9 | No. Ill. -6.34 | No. Ill. -4.5 | No. Ill. wins (71-60) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| North Carolina at Ga. Tech (Jan. 29) | UNC -8 | UNC -9.31 | UNC -11.0 | UNC wins (77-54) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Virginia at NC St. (Jan. 29) | UVA -10 | UVA -7.23 | UVA -7.5 | Virginia wins (66-65 OT). NC St. covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Missouri St. at Valparaiso (Jan. 29) | Valpo. -1 | Valpo. -2.46 | Missouri St. -3.5 | Missouri St. wins (55-54 OT). Valpo. covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Marquette at Butler (Jan. 30) | Butler -1 | Marquette -0.34 | Butler -2.5 | Marquette wins) 76-58) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Indiana at Rutgers (Jan. 30) | Indiana -2 | Indiana – 4.94 | Indiana -1.5 | Rutgers wins (66-58) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Providence at Seton Hall (Jan. 30) | Seton Hall -5 | Seton Hall -2.69 | Seton Hall -4.5 | Seton Hall wins (65-63). Providence covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. The sportsbook was also more accurate than KenPom. |
| West Virginia at Iowa St. (Jan. 30) | Iowa St. -15 | Iowa St. -11.17 | Iowa St. -12.5 | Iowa St. wins (93-68) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| St. John’s at Creighton (Jan. 30) | Creighton -5 | Creighton – 3.66 | Creighton -4.0 | St. John’s wins (83-67) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Illinois at Minnesota (Jan. 30) | Minn. -6 | Minn. -7.28 | Minn. -6.5 | Minnesota wins (86-75) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| UCLA at Wash. St. (Jan. 30) | UCLA -6 | UCLA -7.13 | UCLA -4.5 | UCLA wins (87-67) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| USC at Washington (Jan. 30) | Wash. -9 | Wash. -6.96 | Wash. -7.0 | Washington wins (75-62) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Iona at Marist (Jan. 31) | Iona -2 | Iona -0.10 | Iona -1.0 | Marist wins (78-74) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| La. Monroe at Coastal Carolina (Jan. 31) | C.C. -4 | C.C. -3.03 | C.C. – 1.5 | Coastal Carolina wins (92-81) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| So. Miss at Fla. Int. (Jan. 31) | So. Miss. -2 | So. Miss. -0.05 | Fla. Int -1.0 | So. Miss. wins (89-73) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate Sagarin and the sportsbook. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Temple at Houston (Jan. 31) | Houston -12 | Houston -10.82 | Houston -9.5 | Houston wins (73-66). Temple covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Tulane at East Carolina (Jan. 31) | E. Car. -6 | E. Car. -4.49 | E. Car. -5.0 | East Carolina wins (66-65). Tulane covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| UTEP at Marshall (Jan. 31) | Marshall -9 | Marshall -10.40 | Marshall -9.5 | Marshall wins (91-86). UTEP covers. | KenPom was more accurate Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Tenn. Martin at Tenn. St. (Jan. 31) | Tenn. St -5 | Tenn. St. -3.78 | Tenn. St. -4.5 | Tenn St. wins (68-67). Tenn. Martin covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| UConn at UCF (Jan. 31) | UFC -6 | UCF – 7.93 | UCF – 7.5 | UCF wins (73-67). UConn covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| UMKC at New Mex. St. (Jan. 31) | NM St. -15 | NM St. -18.77 | NM St. -16.5 | NM St. wins (70-54). UMKC covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Portland St. at Weber St. | Weber -12 | Weber -10.68 | Weber -9.0 | Portland St. wins (76-75) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Pepperdine at Portland (Jan. 31) | Pepp. -7 | Pepp. -5.39 | Pepp. -4.5 | Pepp. wins (83-58) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Gonzaga at BYU (Jan. 31) | Gonzaga – 15 | Gonzaga -13.49 | Gonzaga -14.5 | Gonzaga wins (93-63) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Penn at Cornell (Feb. 1) | Penn -4 | Penn. -6.57 | Penn. -6.0 | Cornell wins (80-71) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| North Dakota at Western Ill. (Feb. 1) | W. Ill -5 | W. Ill. -2.46 | W. Ill – 3.0 | N. Dak. wins (74-73) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Davidson at St. Bonaventure (Feb. 1) | Dav. -1 | Dav. -3.08 | Dav. -1.5 | Davidson wins (75-66) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Michigan at Iowa (Feb. 1) | UM -4 | UM -3.42 | UM -5.5 | Iowa wins (74-59) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Colgate at Lehigh (Feb. 4) | Lehigh -4 | Lehigh – 5.07 | Lehigh -5.0 | Colgate wins (84-62) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Fairfield at Siena (Feb. 4) | Siena -5 | Siena – 3.97 | Siena -4.5 | Siena wins (61-5) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Marist at Canisius (Feb. 4) | Canisius -5 | Canisius -6.11 | Canisius -4.5 | Marist wins (78-71 OT) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| NC Cent. at Fla. A&M (Feb. 4) | Fla. A&M -4 | Fla. A&M -1.17 | Fla. A&M -2.0 | Fla. A&M wins (73-57) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Savannah St. at MD East. Shore (Feb. 4) | Savannah St. -3 | Savannah St. -0.92 | Savannah St. -2.0 | Savannah St. wins (68-63) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| S. Car. St. at Delaware St. (Feb. 4) | S. Car. St. -4 | S. Car. St. -5.25 | S. Car. St. -4.5 | Delaware St. wins (70-68) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Penn St. at Northwestern (Feb. 4) | Northwestern -5 | Northwestern -4.88 | Northwestern -3.5 | Penn St. wins (59-52) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Ala. A&M at Tex. Southern (Feb. 4) | Tex. Southern -18 | Tex. Southern -16.54 | Tex. Southern -17.5 | Tex. Southern wins (84-74). Ala. A&M covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Ark. Pine Bluff at Jackson St. (Feb. 4) | Jackson St. -5 | Jackson St. -3.27 | Jackson St. -4.5 | Jackson St. wins (65-52) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Iowa St. at Oklahoma (Feb. 4) | Iowa St -2 | Okla -0.33 | Iowa St. -3.0 | Iowa St. wins (74-73). Okla covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| West Virginia at Texas Tech (Feb. 4) | TT -13 | TT -10.85 | TT – 12.0 | Texas Tech wins (80-51) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| S. Utah at Idaho St. (Feb. 4) | S. Utah -4 | S. Utah -1.51 | S. Utah -5.0 | S. Utah wins (75-64) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Bowling Green at W. Mich. (Feb. 5) | B.G. -6 | B.g. -3.14 | B.G. -5.5 | Bowling Green wins (85-72) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Drake at Loyola-Chicago (Feb. 5) | Loyola-Chi. -2 | Loyola-Chi. -3.62 | Loyola-Chi. -7.0 | Loyola-Chi. wins (86-64) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Miami Oh. at Kent St. (Feb. 5) | Kent St. -3 | Kent St. -4.42 | Kent St. -4.0 | Kent St. wins (70-67). Miami-Oh. covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Mich St. at Illinois (Feb. 5) | Mich St. -12 | Mich St. -12.56 | Mich St. -10.0 | Illinois wins (79-74) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Pitt at Wake Forest (Feb. 5) | Pitt -5 | Pitt -2.96 | Pitt – 3.0 | W.F. wins (78-76 OT) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| St. Joseph’s at La Salle (Feb. 5) | La Salle -2 | St. Joe’s -0.82 | La Salle -1.5 | La Salle wins (83-69) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Ball St. at UNI (Feb. 5) | UNI -3 | UNI -1.97 | UNI -2.5 | Ball St. wins (72-71) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Florida at Auburn (Feb. 5) | Auburn -7 | Auburn -6.97 | Auburn -8.0 | Auburn wins (76-62) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Utah St. at Fresno St. (Feb. 5) | Utah St -1 | Fresno St. -2.03 | Utah St. -2.0 | Utah St. wins (82-81). Fresno St. covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| San Diego St. at New Mexico (Feb. 5) | N.M -1 | SD St. -1.25 | SD St. -2.5 | N.M. wins (83-70) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Fordham at UMass (Feb. 6) | UMass -7 | UMass-8.02 | UMass -5.5 | Fordham wins (85-67) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Kennesaw St. at Jacksonville (Feb. 6) | Jacksonville -13 | Jacksonville -10.83 | Jacksonville -11.5 | Jacksonville wins (82-73). KST covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Lipscomb at North Fla. (Feb. 6) | Lipscomb -12 | Lipscomb -9.66 | Lipscomb -11.0 | Lipscomb wins (92-55) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| New Hampshire at UMass-Lowell (Feb. 6) | UMass-Lowell -16 | UMass-Lowell -11.30 | UMass-Lowell -13.5 | UMass-Lowell wins (72-62). UNH covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Notre Dame at Miami (Feb. 6) | Miami -3 | Miami -2.09 | Miami -3.5 | Miami wins (62-47) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Rhode Is. at Davidson (Feb. 6) | Davidson -6 | Davidson -5.66 | Davidson -5.0 | Davidson wins (68-53) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Texas A&M at Ole Miss (Feb. 6) | Ole Miss -11 | Ole Miss -8.04 | Ole Miss – 9.0 | Ole Miss wins (75-71). A&M covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Georgetown at Providence (Feb. 6) | Providence -4 | Providence -4.26 | Providence -5.5 | Georgetown wins (76-67) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Bradley at UNI (Feb. 6) | UNI -5 | UNI -3.93 | UNI -4.5 | Bradley wins (79-71) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Creighton at Villanova (Feb. 6) | Villanova -8 | Villanova -9.77 | Villanova -9.0 | Villanova wins (66-59 OT). Creighton covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| SE Louisiana at Texas A&M C.C. (Feb. 6) | Texas A&M C.C. -5 | Texas A&M C.C. -3.23 | Texas A&M C.C. -3.5 | SE Louisiana wins (64-58) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| So. Ill at Missouri St. (Feb. 6) | Missouri St. -3 | Missouri St. -1.09 | Missouri St. -4.5 | Missouri St. (65-59) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| SFA at Houston Bapt.(Feb. 6) | Houston Bapt. -3 | SFA -0.94 | Houston Bapt. -1.5 | SFA wins (79-77) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Georgia at Alabama (Feb. 6) | Alabama -9 | Alabama -7.22 | Alabama -8.0 | Alabama wins (89-74) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Wisconsin at Minnesota (Feb. 6) | Wisconsin -4 | Wisconsin -3.64 | Wisconsin -2.5 | Wisconsin wins (56-51) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Nevada at Colorado St. (Feb. 6) | Nevada -12 | Nevada -14.20 | Nevada -13.0 | Nevada wins (98-82) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Kent St. at Akron (Feb. 8) | Akron -6 | Akron -2.73 | Akron -4.0 | Akron wins (72-53) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Penn at Brown (Feb. 8) | Brown -3 | Brown -0.01 | Brown -1.0 | Penn wins (92-82) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Cornell at Dartmouth (Feb. 8) | Dartmouth -7 | Dartmouth -3.69 | Dartmouth -3.5 | Cornell wins (83-80) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Ga. Southern at UL Monroe (Feb. 8) | UL Monroe -1 | Ga. Southern -0.40 | PK | UL Monroe wins (88-79) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Ga. State at Louisiana (Feb. 8) | Ga. State -3 | Ga. State -1.86 | Louisiana -1.0 | Louisiana wins (76-72) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Columbia at Harvard (Feb. 8) | Harvard -14 | Harvard -13.97 | Harvard -10.5 | Harvard wins (98-96 OT). Columbia covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. The sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Canisius at Rider (Feb. 8) | Rider -8 | Rider -6.60 | Rider -9.0 | Canisius wins (81-80) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| St. Louis at St. Joseph’s (Feb. 8) | St. Louis -3 | St. Louis -0.97 | St. Louis -2.5 | St. Joe’s wins (91-61) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Princeton at Yale (Feb. 8) | Yale -9 | Yale -7.87 | Yale -8.0 | Yale wins (74-60) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. The sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| 2017-18 Season | |||||
| Matchup | KP Spread | Sag. Spread | Actual Spread | Outcome | Takeaway |
| Bucknell at Lafayette (Jan. 8) | Bucknell -7 | Bucknell -9.5 | Bucknell -11.0 | Bucknell wins (80-75 OT), Lafayette covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was too high on Bucknell. |
| Jackson St. at Southern (Jan. 8) | Southern -6 | Southern -5.12 | Southern -7.0 | Jackson State wins (65-61) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom; the sportsbook was too high on Jackson State. |
| Baylor at West Virginia (Jan. 9) | W.V. -8 | W.V. -13.4 | W.V. -9.5 | West Virginia wins (57-54); Baylor covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was too high on WV. |
| Texas Tech at Oklahoma (Jan. 9) | T.T. -1 | Okla. -2.2 | Okla. -2.0 | Okla. wins (75-65) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook (slightly); the sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Butler at Creighton (Jan. 9) | Creighton -7 | Creighton -6.4 | Creighton -7.0 | Creighton wins (85-74) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Purdue at Michigan (Jan. 9) | Purdue -2 | Purdue -2.4 | Pur -2.0 | Purdue wins (70-69); Michigan covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Ole Miss at Auburn (Jan. 9) | Aub. -12 | Aub. -17.0 | Aub. -10.5 | Auburn wins (85-70) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom; the sportsbook was too high on Ole Miss. |
| Dayton at Richmond (Jan. 9) | Dayton -1 | Dayton -5.4 | Dayton -2.5 | Dayton wins (87-81) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom; the sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Kansas at Iowa State (Jan. 9) | Kansas -9 | Kansas -20 | Kansas -16.0 | Kansas wins (83-78); Iowa State covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. |
| Syracuse at Virginia (Jan. 9) | Virginia -12 | Virginia -15.75 | Virginia -9.5 | Virginia wins (68-61); Syracuse covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Duke at Pittsburgh (Jan. 10) | Duke -14 | Duke -16.01 | Duke -20.0 | Duke wins (87-52) and covers | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Louisville at Florida State (Jan. 10) | FSU -6 | FSU -9.82 | FSU -6.0 | Louisville wins (73-69) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; KenPom tied with the sportsbook. |
| OK State at Kansas State (Jan. 10) | Kansas State -5 | Kansas State -5.99 | Kansas State -3.0 | Kansas State wins (86-82) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Colorado at USC (Jan. 10) | USC -10 | USC -8.69 | USC -11.0 | USC wins (70-58) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Va. Tech at Wake Forest (Jan. 10) | Wake -1 | Va. Tech -2.43 | Wake -2.0 | Va. Tech wins (83-75) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom; both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Duke at Miami (Jan. 15) | Duke -2 | Duke -2.3 | Duke -4.0 | Duke wins (83-75) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Kansas at West Virginia (Jan. 15) | WV -3 | WV -4.6 | WV -5.5 | Kansas wins (71-66) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. |
| Illinois at Nebraska (Jan. 15) | Nebraska -5 | Nebraska -7.74 | Nebraska -4.5 | Nebraska wins (64-63); Illinois covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| DePaul at Marquette (Jan. 15) | Marquette -10 | Marquette -14.99 | Marquette -9.5 | Marquette wins (70-52) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Cincinnati at UCF (Jan. 16) | Cincinnati -6 | Cincinnati -6.04 | Cincinnati -7.5 | Cincinnati wins (49-38) and covers. | Sagarin was slightly more accurate than KenPom; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Purdue at Wisconsin (Jan. 16) | Purdue -17 | Purdue -23.04 | Purdue -14.5 | Purdue wins (78-50) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom; both metrics were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Clemson at North Carolina (Jan. 16) | UNC -6 | UNC -5.06 | UNC -7.5 | UNC wins (87-79) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Oklahoma at Kansas State (Jan. 16) | Okla. -1 | Okla. -4.73 | Okla. -2.0 | K-State wins (87-69) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. |
| Kentucky at South Carolina (Jan. 16) | UK -3 | UK -4.08 | UK -1.5 | So. Car. wins (76-68) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| SMU at Wichita State (Jan. 17) | Wich. St. -7.5 | Wich. St. -13.01 | Wich. St. -8.5 | SMU wins (83-78) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. |
| Auburn at Alabama (Jan. 17) | Auburn -1 | Auburn -4.00 | Auburn -2.0 | Alabama wins (76-71) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook. |
| St. John’s at Xavier (Jan. 17) | Xavier -12 | Xavier -14.73 | Xavier -11.5 | Xavier wins (88-82); St. John’s covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Iowa State at TCU (Jan. 17) | TCU -12 | TCU -13.56 | TCU -10.5 | TCU wins (96-73) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom. Both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Arizona St. at Stanford (Jan. 17) | ASU -5 | ASU -8.20 | ASU -3.5 | Stanford wins (86-77) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Illinois at Wisconsin (Jan. 19) | Wisc. -4 | Wisc. -5.41 | Wisc. -4.5 | Wisc. wins (75-50) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook; the sportsbook was more accurate that KenPom. |
| St. Bonaventure at Davidson (Jan. 19) | Dav. -4 | St. Bon. -1.53 | Dav. -5.0 | Davidson wins (83-73) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Arizona at Wash. St. (Jan. 31) | Ari. -8 | Ari. -10.50 | Ari. -12.0 | Arizona wins (100-72) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| LSU at Tennessee (Jan. 31) | Tenn. -11 | Tenn.-12.28 | Tenn. -9.5 | Tennessee wins (84-61) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom; both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Missouri at Alabama (Jan. 31) | Bama -3 | Bama -3.52 | Bama -5.5 | Missouri wins (69-60) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; both were more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Florida St. at Wake Forest (Jan. 31) | FSU -4 | FSU -7.07 | FSU -4.5 | Wake wins (76-72) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook; the sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Fairfield at Monmouth (Feb. 2) | Mon. -7 | Mon. -6.78 | Mon. -2.5 | Fairfield wins (79-78) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Canisius at Marist (Feb. 2) | Can. -7 | Can. -9.13 | Can. -8.0 | Canisius wins (73-67); Marist covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook; the sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Harvard at Columbia (Feb. 2) | Pick’em | Harvard -3.10 | Harvard -1.5 | Columbia wins (83-76) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook; the sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Illinois Chicago at Oakland (Feb. 2) | Oak. -9 | Oak. -11.27 | Oak. -8.0 | Ill.-Chi. wins (79-73) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| Indiana at Rutgers (Feb. 5) | Rutgers -1 | Indiana -0.88 | Indiana -3.0 | Indiana wins (65-43) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| West Virginia at Oklahoma (Feb. 5) | Okla. -1 | Okla. -3.49 | Okla. -3.0 | W.V. wins (757-73) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook; the sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Southern at Jackson St. (Feb. 5) | Jack. St -1 | Jack. St -5.06 | Jack. St -2.0 | Southern wins (67-62) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook; the sportsbook was more accurate than Sagarin. |
| Colorado State at Air Force (Feb. 6) | Pick’em | Air Force -0.48 | Air Force -2.5 | Air Force wins (78-73) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom; the sportsbook was more accurate than both. |
| So. Car at Arkansas (Feb. 6) | Ark. -6 | Ark. -8.96 | Ark. -7.0 | Ark.wins (81-65) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook; the sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom; the sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Missouri St. at Indiana St. (Feb. 6) | Ind. St. -3 | Ind. St. -0.59 | Ind. St. -1.5 | Missouri St. wins (81-62) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook; the sportsbook was more accurate than KenPom. |
| Xavier at Butler (Feb. 6) | Butler -3 | Xavier -0.54 | Butler -3.5 | Xavier wins (98-93) and covers. | Sagarin was more accurate than KenPom and the sportsbook; the sportsbook was more accurate than the sportsbook. |
| Tennessee at Kentucky (Feb. 6) | Tenn. -2 | UK -0.47 | UK -1.5 | Tenn. wins (61-59) and covers. | KenPom was more accurate than Sagarin and the sportsbook; Sagarin was more accurate than the sportsbook. |
Dans les paris sur le basket-ball universitaire, l’utilisation de systèmes de prédiction tels que KenPom et Sagarin peut améliorer vos chances de succès. Bien qu’il n’existe pas de formule infaillible pour gagner chaque pari, les données historiques indiquent que les prédictions de KenPom sont souvent plus précises que celles de Sagarin. Lorsque KenPom et Sagarin diffèrent sur les résultats prévus et que l’écart de points réel se situe entre les deux, les parieurs pourraient trouver utile de se ranger du côté de la prédiction de KenPom. De plus, rester informé des nouvelles sur les blessures peut offrir de nouvelles opportunités pour prendre des décisions de paris éclairées.
N’oubliez pas que les paris comportent toujours des risques et qu’il est essentiel d’adopter des pratiques de jeu responsables. En combinant KenPom, Sagarin et les informations sur les blessures, vous pouvez prendre des décisions plus éclairées et augmenter vos chances de succès dans les paris sur le basket-ball universitaire.